The performance of the leadership in the Republican party, and its announced Presidential candidates, is so poor as to literally guarantee the re-election of Pres. Obama. Specifically to be criticized is the Republican positions on the national deficit and debt situation, and the implications for tax policy.
"No tax increases” is the refrain heard from all. But why should there not be “tax increases”? It can be shown using historical data that there are tax increases that do generate benefit (and a financial return) to tax payers. An example is the Dwight D. Eisenhower National System of Interstate and Defense Highways, as outlined and funded through the Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1956. This act allocated excise taxes to the highway fund, and increased these taxes several times (two largest increases were under Pres. Reagan and Pres. Bush 41, 225% and 156% respectively). There are cases, clearly, where the federal government is the only solution and that taxes can and must be raised.
Failure of the Republican leadership to properly frame the issues of taxes and to base their position on a sound, and explainable, principle will only lead to losing the argument. An opposition to taxes can only be based on the principle that the private citizen will make the choice of investment that will best benefit the nation as a whole, when it is within the ability of the citizen to make such choices. As with the interstate highway system, the citizen can’t choose, therefore the government may assume that function. It is then left to the government to convince the people of what is a wise choice, and suffer the consequences for poor choices.
Similarly, there is little conclusive evidence that a reduction in tax rates or other fees will cause growth in the economy or job growth, or that an increase in taxes or fees will cause contraction of the economy. The case must be made individually for each tax. If we returned to a maximum marginal (not average or base) tax rate of 39.6% for earners who ear above $250K, what is the impact? How much comes out of the capital pool, and how effective is the capital in boosting GDP?
I look forward to the discussion.
Comment
Comment by William S Nelson on September 6, 2011 at 6:05pm Pres. Obama has a lot going for him, the support of the media being primary.
But the only way to win the election is to win the debate. Simply saying "no" to every tax increase will not win the debate, you have to explain the reasons for opposing specific taxes; even identifying taxes you may want to increase.
Running as a centrist is not going to win the debat but is going to hurt your argumnets to advance your position. I believe that the American people are waiting for someone to actually engaged in that discussion with them.
Comment by Hans Bader on September 6, 2011 at 4:39pm Thank you for telling the truth about Obama's likely re-election.
Many conservative Americans (and older Americans, whose peer group includes less members of pro-Obama demographics than young people's peer groups) have deluded themselves into thinking Obama will be a one-term president.
However bad his policies, Obama will likely be re-elected. If America's demographics in 1980 were the same as its demographics today (in ethnic and other terms), Jimmy Carter would have handily beaten Ronald Reagan.
This is a disturbing but true fact.
There is very little margin of error for GOP candidates. They must appeal to centrist voters to win.
For example, talking about ending social security is suicidal. It didn't work for Goldwater in 1964, and it certain won't work today in a much more liberal America.
Talking about gay marriage will not reap votes. People care about jobs, not fighting gay marriage.
GOP candidates should adopt the centrist positions that Obama has avoided due to his left-wing background.
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